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New Federal Study says Global Warming May Lessen Hurricane Strikes

Washington – A new federal study that clashes with other research says global warming could reduce how many hurricanes hit the United States.

The new study is the latest in a contentious scientific debate over how man-made global warming may affect the intensity and number of hurricanes.

In it, researchers link warming waters, especially in the Indian and Pacific oceans, to increased vertical wind shear in the Atlantic Ocean near the United States.

Wind shear - a change in wind speed or direction - makes it hard for hurricanes to form, strengthen and stay alive.

Researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Miami Lab and the University of Miami say that means "global warming may decrease the likelihood of hurricanes making landfall in the United States."

Study author Chunzai Wang says with every degree Celsius that the oceans warm, the wind shear increases by up to 10 mph, weakening storm formation.

Wang said he based his study on observations instead of computer models and records of landfall hurricanes through more than 100 years.

But critics say Wang's study is based on poor data that was rejected by scientists on the Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

(Copyright 2008 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

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